Peter Brent writes regularly on politics and polls for Inside Story. He tweets on electoral matters at @mumbletwits.
      
    
  
  
          
        National affairs
      
        
      Let’s not get ahead of ourselves
    
    
      Peter Brent 
    
    
      4 February 2019    
    
      History suggests we shouldn’t expect a surge in Liberal-leaning independents
    
  
                
                      
      
    
  
  
          
        National affairs
      
        
      For whom a bellwether tolls
    
    
      Peter Brent 
    
    
      25 January 2019    
    
      Gilmore — once a Liberal stronghold — has reverted to the statewide average, leaving Warren Mundine with an uphill battle
    
  
                
          
          
  
    
        
      
    
  
  
          
        National affairs
      
        
      Build it and they will come
    
    
      Peter Brent 
    
    
      18 January 2019    
    
      With looming retirements and on-the-nose MPs, there’s a good chance the crossbench will be bigger after this year’s federal election
    
  
                
          
          
  
    
        
      
    
  
  
          
        National affairs
      
        
      Yes, the Coalition does have a woman problem
    
    
      Peter Brent 
    
    
      9 January 2019    
    
      The polls show a clear trend in how voters are responding
    
  
                
          
          
  
    
        
      
    
  
  
          
        National affairs
      
        
      Reasons to be hopeful
    
    
      Peter Brent 
    
    
      28 December 2018    
    
      If you’re a member of the government, that is — though the odds are still against you
    
  
                  
      
    
  
  
          
        National affairs
      
        
      Abbott in wonderland
    
    
      Peter Brent 
    
    
      10 December 2018    
    
      The former prime minister is unlikely to be opposition leader after the election — and it’s mainly a question of timing
    
  
                
                      
      
    
  
  
          
        National affairs
      
        
      Warts and all
    
    
      Peter Brent 
    
    
      6 December 2018    
    
      Poor polling figures bring to the surface old obsessions that don’t necessarily impress voters
    
  
                
          
          
  
    
        
      
    
  
  
          
        National affairs
      
        
      The personal is the political
    
    
      Peter Brent 
    
    
      28 November 2018    
    
      Julia Banks faces a range of challenges if she runs as an independent — and hers won’t be the only Victorian seat to watch
    
  
                
          
          
  
    
        
      
    
  
  
          
        National affairs
      
        
      Does Victoria really have a message for Canberra?
    
    
      Peter Brent 
    
    
      25 November 2018    
    
      Federal and state factors interacted yesterday, but not in the way you might think
    
  
                
          
          
  
    
        
      
    
  
  
          
        National affairs
      
        
      Victoria votes
    
    
      Peter Brent 
    
    
      24 November 2018    
    
      Peter Brent’s election-day round-up
    
  
                  
      
    
  
  
          
        National affairs
      
        
      Rescuing the republic
    
    
      Peter Brent 
    
    
      14 November 2018    
    
      The Voice and the republic might just add up to a winning combination
    
  
                
                      
      
    
  
  
          
        National affairs
      
        
      Playing to his weaknesses
    
    
      Peter Brent 
    
    
      8 November 2018    
    
      Being prime minister is harder than Scott Morrison might have thought
    
  
                
          
          
  
    
        
      
    
  
  
          
        National affairs
      
        
      The addictive drama of Newspoll
    
    
      Peter Brent 
    
    
      31 October 2018    
    
      Down this fortnight, up the next: how a nation is gripped by a name and its numbers
    
  
                
          
          
  
    
        
      
    
  
  
          
        National affairs
      
        
      When safe means vulnerable
    
    
      Peter Brent 
    
    
      25 October 2018    
    
      The Wentworth result might not change the Labor–Coalition equation, but it’s a reminder that seats can suddenly fall to independents
    
  
                
          
          
  
    
        
      
    
  
  
          
        National affairs
      
        
      That’s what national polls are for
    
    
      Peter Brent 
    
    
      20 October 2018    
    
      An earth-shattering result in the inner-city seat recalls an earlier independent triumph – and its aftermath
    
  
                  
      
    
  
  
          
        National affairs
      
        
      A by-election that really matters
    
    
      Peter Brent 
    
    
      20 October 2018    
    
      The betting markets are off the mark as Wentworth voters begin casting their ballots in a vital contest
    
  
                
                      
      
    
  
  
          
        National affairs
      
        
      Loose in the top paddock
    
    
      Peter Brent 
    
    
      19 October 2018    
    
      Is Barnaby Joyce the electoral asset his supporters believe him to be?
    
  
                
          
          
  
    
        
      
    
  
  
          
        National affairs
      
        
      Running with the pack
    
    
      Peter Brent 
    
    
      8 October 2018    
    
      Fresh from their dismal toppling of Malcolm Turnbull, Sydney’s best-known media gang is targeting new victims and choosing new friends
    
  
                
          
          
  
    
        
      
    
  
  
          
        National affairs
      
        
      After Malcolm
    
    
      Peter Brent 
    
    
      27 September 2018    
    
      With the risk of an independent taking a blue-ribbon seat, Wentworth has become an even more interesting contest
    
  
                
          
          
  
    
        
      
    
  
  
          
        National affairs
      
        
      Thinking small
    
    
      Peter Brent 
    
    
      21 September 2018    
    
      Are the old days of majority government coming to an end?
    
  
                  
      
    
  
  
          
        National affairs
      
        
      What you see is what you get
    
    
      Peter Brent 
    
    
      12 September 2018    
    
      A News Corp cartoonist runs into trouble again
    
  
                
                      
      
    
  
  
          
        National affairs
      
        
      Bush telegraph
    
    
      Peter Brent 
    
    
      10 September 2018    
    
      Does Saturday’s shocking result for the NSW Liberals in Wagga Wagga have longer-term implications?
    
  
                
          
          
  
    
        
      
    
  
  
          
        National affairs
      
        
      Cometh the hour
    
    
      Peter Brent 
    
    
      3 September 2018    
    
      Scott Morrison’s plan worked perfectly, but Mark Latham showed that good timing is not enough
    
  
                
          
          
  
    
        
      
    
  
  
          
        National affairs
      
        
      Notes from a prime ministerial assassination
    
    
      Peter Brent 
    
    
      27 August 2018    
    
      Today’s Newspoll underlines how the change of leader didn’t play out in quite the way most people expected
    
  
                
          
          
  
    
        
      
    
  
  
          
        National affairs
      
        
      Scott’s changing spots
    
    
      Peter Brent 
    
    
      24 August 2018    
    
      The new PM will need to change tack for the third time in his political career
    
  
                  
      
    
  
  
          
        National affairs
      
        
      What next?
    
    
      Peter Brent 
    
    
      22 August 2018    
    
      A change of PM seems inevitable. Then comes a bounce that could be hazardous for both parties
    
  
                
                      
      
    
  
  
          
        National affairs
      
        
      Time for Peter Cosgrove to put on the kettle?
    
    
      Peter Brent 
    
    
      21 August 2018    
    
      Malcolm Turnbull has survived a spill, but the rebels won’t leave it there
    
  
                
          
          
  
    
        
      
    
  
  
          
        National affairs
      
        
      End game
    
    
      Peter Brent 
    
    
      20 August 2018    
    
      Has the Liberal Party passed the point of no return?
    
  
                
          
          
  
    
        
      
    
  
  
          
        National affairs
      
        
      Second-string demagoguery
    
    
      Peter Brent 
    
    
      15 August 2018    
    
      At least Fraser Anning will be out of parliament by July next year
    
  
                
          
          
  
    
        
      
    
  
  
          
        National affairs
      
        
      How to kill a leadership
    
    
      Peter Brent 
    
    
      6 August 2018    
    
      Under pressure, the prime minister should consider the case of Kevin Michael Rudd
    
  
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