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polls
National affairs
Warts and all
Peter Brent
6 December 2018
Poor polling figures bring to the surface old obsessions that don’t necessarily impress voters
National affairs
The addictive drama of Newspoll
Peter Brent
31 October 2018
Down this fortnight, up the next: how a nation is gripped by a name and its numbers
National affairs
End game
Peter Brent
20 August 2018
Has the Liberal Party passed the point of no return?
National affairs
Jumping at shadows
Peter Brent
31 July 2018
If anything, Labor’s stocks have declined in recent weeks. Focusing on by-election victories won’t change that
National affairs
Not-so-great expectations
Peter Brent
29 July 2018
Deft management and misleading polls helped turn Super Saturday into a public relations coup for Labor
National affairs
Poll positions
Peter Brent
21 June 2018
Pollsters need to be wary of over-enthusiastic clients
National affairs
Yes, section 44 can be fixed
Peter Brent
17 May 2018
The parliamentary report on dual citizenship was barely out before the government rejected its key recommendation. It’s time for some lateral thinking
National affairs
The Longman and Shorten of it
Peter Brent
14 May 2018
Of the four upcoming by-elections in Labor-held seats, Susan Lamb faces the closest contest
National affairs
Our global backyard
Frank Bongiorno and Darren Pennay
26 January 2018
What happens when Australians are asked to name the most significant historical events of their lifetimes?
National affairs
It’s time for a new “unifying moment”
Mike Steketee
23 January 2018
Evidence suggests that Australians aren’t strongly wedded to celebrating a national day on 26 January
National affairs
Dates with destiny
Peter Brent
4 December 2017
Barnaby Joyce triumphs, but the thirtieth bad Newspoll in a row draws inexorably closer
International
Have headline, will travel
Peter Brent
19 October 2017
Beware of what excitable headline-writers and the betting markets say about Donald Trump’s chances of serving two terms
National affairs
The Liberal Party’s prism problem
Peter Brent
7 August 2017
For a leader in trouble, Malcolm Turnbull is polling surprisingly well. Meanwhile, conservative forces are circling
National affairs
He’s no Kevin Rudd
Peter Brent
5 July 2017
The differences between two deposed leaders are more illuminating than their similarities
National affairs
Another blow for populism?
Peter Brent
15 June 2017
Jeremy Corbyn’s critics might brand him a populist, but that doesn’t explain how both major parties attracted surprisingly big shares of the vote in last week’s…
National affairs
How May and Corbyn are following the script
Peter Brent
7 June 2017
Like their Australian counterparts, British frontrunners often lose support during election campaigns
National affairs
Could Tony Abbott have won the 2016 election?
Mike Steketee
3 May 2017
And how much did Labor’s “Mediscare” campaign narrow the margin? The Australian Electoral Study has its answers
National affairs
Those damned, elusive Newspoll boosts
Peter Brent
24 April 2017
A lot happened in the past fortnight. But not much happened in Newspoll
National affairs
The Coalition’s deck-chair question
Peter Brent
31 March 2017
Who will lead the government to near-certain defeat at the next federal election?
National affairs
Mark McGowan’s – and Malcolm Turnbull’s – opportunity to seize the day
Tim Colebatch
13 March 2017
WA Labor should immediately tackle the upper house gerrymander – and the federal Coalition needs to use the budget to get back on track
National affairs
A former leader’s advice: in a crisis, have the courage to break with the past
Tim Colebatch
3 March 2017
By forcing Malcolm Turnbull to behave like Tony Abbott, the Nationals have gravely damaged the government. But Black Jack McEwen showed how that can change
National affairs
NSW politics claims another victim
Norman Abjorensen
19 January 2017
A remarkable drop in polling figures preceded Mike Baird’s resignation announcement today
International
Trump’s ragged army
Peter Brent
27 October 2016
Since he won the nomination, Donald Trump has relied on party loyalty rather than working-class defections
From the archive
Mitchell, Murdoch and me
Peter Brent
13 October 2016
A critic-turned-employee of the
Australian
recalls the highs and lows of dealing with Chris Mitchell, editor-in-chief
National affairs
Newspoll and the new reality of post-election polling
Peter Brent
30 August 2016
The global financial crisis continues to make governing difficult, writes
Peter Brent
. No wonder this week’s poll figures aren’t so good for the Coalition
Essays & reportage
Polls and the pendulum
Murray Goot
17 June 2016
It’s wise to take care in interpreting the two-party-preferred poll figures and the 2016 electoral pendulum, writes
Murray Goot
National affairs
Newspoll’s leadership problem
Peter Brent
23 May 2016
Shifts in approval ratings always set commentators buzzing, writes
Peter Brent
. What they mean is another thing altogether
National affairs
Election 2016: The realists, the rationalists and the romantics
Paul Rodan
4 May 2016
We don’t know for certain why people vote the way they do, writes
Paul Rodan
. But three theories give us glimpses
National affairs
The tyranny of the present
Peter Brent
20 April 2016
In the battle to write history as it unfolds, too much notice is being taken of shifts in the polls, writes
Peter Brent
National affairs
There’s more than one way of thinking big
Peter Brent
13 April 2016
Kevin Rudd’s fate is a cautionary tale for an announcement-prone Malcolm Turnbull, writes
Peter Brent
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