Peter Brent writes regularly on politics and polls for Inside Story. He tweets on electoral matters at @mumbletwits.
National affairs
What Queensland tells us about the future
Peter Brent
27 November 2017
A shift in voting patterns interacted with compulsory preferences to produce a dramatic election count. Is this what we should expect in future federal elections?
National affairs
Marriage equality gets a Yes; uncertainty strikes in Bennelong
Peter Brent
15 November 2017
Both votes are a test for the government, but the second has suddenly become less predictable
National affairs
Over to you, Mr Shorten
Peter Brent
1 November 2017
Labor can implement key Uluru Statement proposals, and it doesn’t need a referendum to do it
National affairs
Perplexing the poll-watchers
Peter Brent
30 October 2017
How-to-vote cards will play a key role in determining next month’s election result in Queensland
International
Have headline, will travel
Peter Brent
19 October 2017
Beware of what excitable headline-writers and the betting markets say about Donald Trump’s chances of serving two terms
National affairs
Marriage polling and the warhorse factor
Peter Brent
27 September 2017
Despite differences over how many voters have already returned their surveys, the latest polls tell a near-identical story
National affairs
Careful what you wish for
Peter Brent
12 September 2017
The Yes campaign needs to be wary of over-enthusiastic supporters
National affairs
Are voters moving to the left?
Peter Brent
1 September 2017
More young Australians are enrolled to vote than ever before. But will this have the impact Labor and the Greens are hoping for?
National affairs
A nice set of numbers?
Peter Brent
24 August 2017
Enrolment figures, poll results and pre-survey nerves have encouraged wrong-headed punditry about marriage equality
National affairs
Marriage equality’s secret weapon
Peter Brent
10 August 2017
Could one divisive figure decide the result?
National affairs
The Liberal Party’s prism problem
Peter Brent
7 August 2017
For a leader in trouble, Malcolm Turnbull is polling surprisingly well. Meanwhile, conservative forces are circling
National affairs
Mr Greiner and the battle of the titans
Peter Brent
21 July 2017
A quiet tête-à-tête won’t resolve the passions at work in the saga of the vanquished leader
National affairs
He’s no Kevin Rudd
Peter Brent
5 July 2017
The differences between two deposed leaders are more illuminating than their similarities
National affairs
How about we start again on race and the Constitution?
Peter Brent
28 June 2017
Efforts to remove “race” from the Constitution have become tangled up with Indigenous recognition. Let’s take them one at a time
National affairs
Another blow for populism?
Peter Brent
15 June 2017
Jeremy Corbyn’s critics might brand him a populist, but that doesn’t explain how both major parties attracted surprisingly big shares of the vote in last week’s…
National affairs
How May and Corbyn are following the script
Peter Brent
7 June 2017
Like their Australian counterparts, British frontrunners often lose support during election campaigns
National affairs
The middle might be shrinking, but it usually trumps the splinters
Peter Brent
25 May 2017
Although poll predictions are unusually hazardous at the moment, the centre generally holds
National affairs
Yassmin Abdel-Magied and the Pavlovian puzzle
Peter Brent
4 May 2017
It’s day nine of a classic News Corp–Coalition culture-war crusade
National affairs
Those damned, elusive Newspoll boosts
Peter Brent
24 April 2017
A lot happened in the past fortnight. But not much happened in Newspoll
National affairs
Is technology outpacing compulsory voting?
Peter Brent
19 April 2017
How should authorities deal with a fast-growing electoral roll that hasn’t translated into a comparable lift in voting?
National affairs
The Coalition’s deck-chair question
Peter Brent
31 March 2017
Who will lead the government to near-certain defeat at the next federal election?
National affairs
Perilous Pauline
Peter Brent
10 March 2017
The resurgent One Nation faces a reckoning this Saturday night in Western Australia
National affairs
Caught between the base and electoral reality
Peter Brent
21 February 2017
Malcolm Turnbull will be the next victim of the growing gap between Liberal Party diehards and the election-deciding majority
National affairs
One for the aficionados
Peter Brent
8 February 2017
Cory Bernardi’s defection is unlikely to excite voters or inflict lasting damage on the government
National affairs
One vote, one value?
Peter Brent
27 January 2017
Translating the national vote into a fair election result shouldn’t be too hard. But neither the United States nor Australia has cracked it
National affairs
Sweating on preferences
Peter Brent
6 January 2017
There are many reasons why Western Australia’s government could change in March. Then there are the wild cards, including One Nation
National affairs
He’s no Donald Trump
Peter Brent
28 December 2016
Electorally speaking, Cory Bernardi is on the wrong Coalition faultline
National affairs
Cross-Tasman contrast
Peter Brent
8 December 2016
Does New Zealand have a simple recipe for political success?
National affairs
Prometheus bound
Peter Brent
18 November 2016
Malcolm Turnbull is just the latest victim of Australia’s political system
International
Trump’s ragged army
Peter Brent
27 October 2016
Since he won the nomination, Donald Trump has relied on party loyalty rather than working-class defections
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