National affairs
There’s more than one way of thinking big
Peter Brent
13 April 2016
Kevin Rudd’s fate is a cautionary tale for an announcement-prone Malcolm Turnbull, writes Peter Brent
National affairs
Hanging off Newspoll
Peter Brent
5 April 2016
A bad Newspoll result suggests that Malcolm Turnbull has provoked the economic anxieties of the electorate, says Peter Brent. The question is: why?
National affairs
Fifty–fifty vision: the pollsters’ preference problem
Peter Brent
22 February 2016
Ipsos and Newspoll have brought bad news for the government, writes Peter Brent. But both parties would be wise to stay calm
National affairs
Fighting old battles, losing the war
Peter Browne
14 July 2015
The Coalition has been fighting on the same terrain for nearly two years, writes Peter Browne, but it hasn’t shaken Labor’s lead in the polls
National affairs
Why Bill Shorten and Labor can afford to ignore Rupert Murdoch
Rodney Tiffen
23 June 2015
With declining reach and influence, the Murdoch empire can no longer determine election results, writes Rodney Tiffen
National affairs
How gay marriage fell victim to Labor’s Stockholm Syndrome
Peter Brent
25 May 2015
A referendum on same-sex marriage would be a bad idea, writes Peter Brent. But the fact that the issue has got to this point says a lot about the Labor Party
Podcasts
Coalition still ahead in New South Wales, still behind in Canberra
Peter Clarke
23 March 2015
Down to the wire? In this fifteen-minute podcast, Peter Clarke talks to psephologist Peter Brent about this Saturday’s NSW election and the federal…
National affairs
Polls and preferences: the new challenge for election watchers
Tim Colebatch
24 February 2015
Elections in Victoria and Queensland have caught the pollsters wrong-footed, writes Tim Colebatch. Are unexpected preference flows making Australian elections harder to predict?
National affairs
Queensland: why the pollsters (and most pundits) were wrong
Peter Brent
5 February 2015
State-specific factors are part of the story, writes Peter Brent. But there's also a longer-term pattern
National affairs
Dancing in the dark
Peter Brent
3 July 2014
Both the major parties have made a habit of misinterpreting the polls on climate change. The latest results shouldn’t provide any comfort to the Coalition
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