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polls
National affairs
Hard times on the opposition benches
Peter Brent
7 August 2020
The truce among governing parties makes life difficult for Anthony Albanese and his state counterparts
International
Maybe, probably, definitely?
Peter Brent
22 July 2020
What does history tell us about how the numbers will unfold between now and election day?
International
Trump’s plot against America
Lesley Russell
9 July 2020
Now we know the president’s campaign target: the enemies within
National affairs
Happy anniversary?
Peter Brent
18 May 2020
A year after its re-election, the Coalition is riding high. But how long will that last?
National affairs
The man, the times, the party
Peter Brent
27 April 2020
Scott Morrison meets the ghost of Richard Nixon
National affairs
Rising to the occasion
Peter Brent
8 April 2020
What’s an opposition leader to do in a crisis like this?
National affairs
People power
Peter Brent
4 December 2019
The tide of populism doesn’t always run the same way
National affairs
The underdog that didn’t bark
Peter Brent
11 November 2019
Was Labor trying for the elusive bandwagon effect in May?
Essays & reportage
Did late deciders confound the polls?
Murray Goot
19 September 2019
Predictions of the 2019 election result were way off the mark. But we still don’t know why
National affairs
How the polls mapped a road to victory
Rodney Tiffen
11 September 2019
Did misleading numbers influence how the federal campaign was fought?
National affairs
Notes on an election
Peter Brent
7 June 2019
Dust settled, our correspondent pokes through the rubble
National affairs
Queensland, and other polling problems
Peter Brent
29 May 2019
What went wrong for Australia’s best-known pollsters?
National affairs
The great divide
Tim Colebatch
19 May 2019
Election 2019
| What exactly happened around Australia yesterday?
National affairs
A lesson twice learnt
Peter Brent
19 May 2019
Election 2019
| A fearful voter can be an unpredictable thing
National affairs
Can you feel it?
Peter Brent
18 May 2019
Election 2019
| Will the skittish commentariat be vindicated tonight?
Essays & reportage
Who controls opinion polling in Australia, what else we need to know about the polls, and why it matters
Murray Goot
15 May 2019
The decision by former Fairfax papers to sack one of their market researchers raised thorny questions about pollsters and their polls
National affairs
Careful what they wish for
Peter Brent
15 May 2019
Election 2019
| Is a change-oriented campaign helping Labor over the line — and would the polls know either way?
National affairs
A close election draws closer
Paul Rodan
14 May 2019
Election 2019
| If the polling consensus is right, each winnable seat will count for Labor
National affairs
Getting the numbers
Rodney Tiffen
13 May 2019
Inside Story
’s guide to seventy years of parties, polling and politics
National affairs
It’s not what you ask, it’s how you ask it
Peter Brent
27 April 2019
Election 2019
| An odd decision by Newspoll has shifted the dynamics of the campaign — but by how much?
National affairs
One path to victory
Peter Brent
15 April 2019
On the evidence so far, the election will be closer than expected
International
Old strategy with a new twist
Dave McCrae and Dirk Tomsa
15 April 2019
Why is the likely loser of the Indonesian election already crying foul?
National affairs
Over the top with Scott
Tim Colebatch
11 April 2019
If a fair go means anything, the Coalition is heading for a bracing judgement from voters
National affairs
More polls, but still no election
Peter Brent
8 April 2019
Do today’s figures tell us anything at all about how the parties are faring?
National affairs
Votes by the boatload?
Peter Brent
18 February 2019
Don’t bet on it: experience suggests that asylum seekers won’t be the deciding factor in May
International
It’ll take more than one “good election” to fix America’s political culture
Rodney Tiffen
7 February 2019
How the United States has become more divided and out-of-step, in three charts
National affairs
For whom a bellwether tolls
Peter Brent
25 January 2019
Gilmore — once a Liberal stronghold — has reverted to the statewide average, leaving Warren Mundine with an uphill battle
National affairs
Yes, the Coalition does have a woman problem
Peter Brent
9 January 2019
The polls show a clear trend in how voters are responding
National affairs
Reasons to be hopeful
Peter Brent
28 December 2018
If you’re a member of the government, that is — though the odds are still against you
National affairs
Abbott in wonderland
Peter Brent
10 December 2018
The former prime minister is unlikely to be opposition leader after the election — and it’s mainly a question of timing
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