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polls
National affairs
Poll position
Peter Brent
31 May 2024
One of Australia’s pollsters got very close to the actual result in 2022. Can they do it again?
National affairs
That fickle budget bounce
Peter Brent
17 May 2024
All eyes will be on the next round of opinion polls. But it’s the ones that come later that count
National affairs
For whom the pendulum swings
Peter Brent
3 May 2024
The job of Liberal leader once swung from the party’s left to its right. But a lot has changed in recent years
Essays & reportage
Nuclear power, Newspoll and the nuances of polled opinion
Murray Goot
12 March 2024
Is the
Australian
’s polling and commentary doing the opposition any favours?
National affairs
Dunkley’s Rorschach test
Peter Brent
1 March 2024
It’s the interpretation rather than the result that will have real-world effects
National affairs
How’s he travelling?
Peter Brent
22 February 2024
It depends on how you ask the question
National affairs
PM under pressure
Peter Brent
4 December 2023
A panicky leader will only make matters worse for the government
National affairs
Peter Dutton’s momentum
Peter Brent
30 November 2023
With the next election still at least a year away, is the Coalition on the right kind of roll?
National affairs
The weight of history
Peter Brent
13 October 2023
Different audiences will be watching for different messages during Saturday night’s referendum count
Essays & reportage
The “end” of Labor’s honeymoon and the “collapse” of women’s support for the Voice
Murray Goot
25 July 2023
How Newspoll reports public opinion and how the
Australian
reports Newspoll
National affairs
How far will level-headedness take Anthony Albanese?
Peter Brent
28 June 2023
Still polling strongly, the prime minister might be pondering his predecessors’ experiences after their first year in office
Essays & reportage
“Undecided” on the Voice
Murray Goot
20 June 2023
Depending on the choices pollsters offer, the undecideds range all the way from none to two-thirds of respondents
National affairs
Losing ground?
Murray Goot
9 June 2023
Support for the Voice may not have dropped as much as the latest Newspoll suggests
National affairs
Reading elections backwards
Peter Brent
9 May 2023
The Australian Election Study is hamstrung by some worrying choices
Correspondents
Riding high in April, shot down in May?
Peter Kellner
3 April 2023
May’s local elections across England will be closely watched by parties and pollsters alike
National affairs
Just remind me, what is the Constitution?
Peter Brent
15 February 2023
There are good reasons to be sceptical about recent polling on the Voice referendum
National affairs
Strange, uncertain times
Peter Brent
24 September 2022
Shifting voter sentiment and a hostile global economy make Labor’s prospects far from clear
National affairs
Western Australia to the rescue?
Peter Brent
1 December 2021
Mark McGowan might be riding high, but how much does that help federal Labor?
Essays & reportage
The Resolve poll that resolves very little
Murray Goot
5 July 2021
How skilfully has the
Age
and the
Sydney Morning
Herald
’s new pollster gauged opinion on quarantine, cutting emissions, and China?
Books & arts
Who are we?
Jane Goodall
24 June 2021
It’s a question that might best be approached obliquely
National affairs
Is the Covid effect fading?
Peter Brent
7 May 2021
Is last weekend’s win for Tasmania’s Liberals good news for Scott Morrison?
National affairs
Polling’s least-worst option
Peter Brent
3 May 2021
The Nine papers’ well-intentioned attempt to improve coverage of political polls could have the opposite effect
National affairs
Labor’s Achilles heel
Peter Brent
23 April 2021
Scott Morrison’s reputation for campaigning prowess could work in Labor’s favour at the next election, but the economy will trump all else
National affairs
Borrowed time
Rodney Tiffen
19 March 2021
Trigger-happy state opposition MPs seem set on repeating the mistakes of the past
National affairs
Early-election watching
Peter Brent
1 February 2021
Covid-19 has been good to governments, but will the effect last?
National affairs
The polls, and nothing but the polls
Peter Brent
16 December 2020
Why we’re still trying to understand the “Morrison miracle” (and other great polling failures)
National affairs
Polling’s perception problem
Peter Brent
6 November 2020
Are the polls
really
less accurate these days?
National affairs
How low can you go?
Peter Brent
21 September 2020
Structural shifts mean that Labor’s primary vote is only part of the election-winning equation
National affairs
Together, let’s stick together
Peter Brent
1 September 2020
Crises aren’t always bad for governments — federal, state or territory — facing elections
National affairs
Hard times on the opposition benches
Peter Brent
7 August 2020
The truce among governing parties makes life difficult for Anthony Albanese and his state counterparts
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