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election 2025
National affairs
Could Labor win big?
Murray Goot
22 April 2025
Some polls are suggesting it will — but what distinguishes those polls from the ones that aren’t?
National affairs
Sowing doubt in Dutton’s Dickson
Karen Middleton
18 April 2025
Targeting the opposition leader’s seat serves more than one purpose for Labor
National affairs
The Coalition makes the case for negative gearing reform
Peter Mares
15 April 2025
Peter Dutton’s housing announcement exposes the inconsistency in the opposition’s thinking
Essays & reportage
Which are the polls to watch?
Murray Goot
14 April 2025
Does the national two-party vote tell us whether Labor will finish with the most MPs, or will it come down to 150 seat-by-seat swings?
National affairs
A small target has suddenly got bigger
Karen Middleton
11 April 2025
Attacking the government might have given the Coalition some easy wins over the past three years, but does it add up to an election strategy?
National affairs
Be careful what he wishes for
Peter Mares
11 April 2025
Slashing migration is much harder than it sounds
National affairs
Notes on a resurgence
Peter Brent
9 April 2025
Pollsters are giving Labor a winning edge, but the government has reasons to be cautious
National affairs
Peter Dutton’s challenge
Paul Rodan
8 April 2025
Is electoral history about to assert itself once again?
National affairs
Tricks of the trade
Karen Middleton
4 April 2025
Australia’s narrow escape from tariffs during Donald Trump’s first presidency created hostility that could complicate efforts to respond to his latest move
National affairs
How they started and how they finished
Rodney Tiffen
3 April 2025
Do election campaigns matter? Fifty years of federal elections reveal a complex picture
National affairs
Pre-election giveaways
Karen Middleton
28 March 2025
The last week of parliament exposed where the tensions lie on both sides of politics
National affairs
State of exception
Peter Brent
25 March 2025
Taswegians tend to go their own way at national elections, and that can matter when the results are close
National affairs
A poll that answers Dutton’s dreams…
Murray Goot
10 March 2025
… winning without defeating any teals or Greens
National affairs
Safety in numbers?
Murray Goot
10 March 2025
How reliable is the exotic new breed of seat-by-seat political polls?
Essays & reportage
Disruption (with Australian characteristics)
Brett Evans
7 March 2025
A credible teal threat to the Liberals in Sydney’s Bradfield raises the question: would minority government be so bad?
National affairs
An unhealthy Mediconsensus
Lesley Russell
26 February 2025
With the Coalition matching Labor’s promises, are vital Medicare reforms being dealt out of contention?