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Peter Brent

Mumble, Peter Brent’s long-running polls and politics blog, is now exclusive to Inside Story.

Peter Brent is an Adjunct Research Fellow at Swinburne University of Technology. He tweets on electoral matters at @mumbletwits.

National Affairs Peter Brent 24 March 2021 Liberal preferences could make or break the Greens’ ambitions in the lower house. Will Jeff Kennett come to the rescue?
National Affairs Peter Brent 12 March 2021 Labor is expected to win by a landslide in WA tomorrow. But be wary of drawing conclusions about the next federal election National Affairs Peter Brent 5 March 2021 Those eleven years of government certainly had an impact, but not the one the Liberal PM is usually credited with National Affairs Peter Brent 17 February 2021 Has Labor written the Coalition’s script for the next election campaign? National Affairs Peter Brent 11 February 2021 Australia’s climate policy failures are set to create a new revenue stream for major trading partners
National Affairs Peter Brent 1 February 2021 Covid-19 has been good to governments, but will the effect last?
National Affairs Peter Brent 16 December 2020 Why we’re still trying to understand the “Morrison miracle” (and other great polling failures) National Affairs Peter Brent 7 December 2020 Focusing on the outer suburbs could lead Labor into deep trouble National Affairs Peter Brent 1 December 2020 Like most by-elections, the weekend’s vote in Groom hasn’t changed the wider electoral equation National Affairs Peter Brent 18 November 2020 Covid-19 has rewarded some and disadvantaged others — but federal Labor faces the same old post-defeat pressures
Summer season Peter Brent 14 November 2020 Behind Joel Fitzgibbon’s coal-fired resignation lies a decades-old battle  
National Affairs Peter Brent 6 November 2020 Are the polls really less accurate these days? National Affairs Peter Brent 31 October 2020 The minor party’s apparent decline can only be good for Labor in today’s state election National Affairs Peter Brent 28 October 2020 Experience shows that state parties suffer electorally when their own party governs in Canberra National Affairs Peter Brent 22 October 2020 Regardless of his public impact, Josh Frydenberg is making his case to be party leader
National Affairs Peter Brent 13 October 2020 Australians are more likely to vote than their international counterparts — but does that mean the system should stay as it is?
National Affairs Peter Brent 6 October 2020 We’ve grown used to televised election confrontations. But do they really shift votes? National Affairs Peter Brent 21 September 2020 Structural shifts mean that Labor’s primary vote is only part of the election-winning equation National Affairs Peter Brent 18 September 2020 Joe Biden’s climate policy would have big repercussions in Australia National Affairs Peter Brent 10 September 2020 Normal hostilities have resumed, and the target is the Liberals’ bête noire, Dan Andrews. Next up, Annastacia Palaszczuk…
National Affairs Peter Brent 1 September 2020 Crises aren’t always bad for governments — federal, state or territory — facing elections
National Affairs Peter Brent 24 August 2020 The electoral arithmetic was loaded against Lia Finocchiaro’s Country Liberal Party in Saturday’s Northern Territory election National Affairs Peter Brent 19 August 2020 Donald Trump’s attack on the mail system highlights how a flawed electoral system is struggling with the pandemic National Affairs Peter Brent 7 August 2020 The truce among governing parties makes life difficult for Anthony Albanese and his state counterparts International Peter Brent 22 July 2020 What does history tell us about how the numbers will unfold between now and election day?
National Affairs Peter Brent 5 July 2020 What does a tight result that’s likely to go Labor’s way tell us about electoral behaviour?
National Affairs Peter Brent 2 July 2020 Interpreting Saturday’s result is all about context National Affairs Peter Brent 22 June 2020 Have we been missing the prime cause of the leadership instability that set in ten years ago? National Affairs Peter Brent 3 June 2020 Labor’s chances of winning the closely watched seat have improved — but don’t bet your house on it National Affairs Peter Brent 18 May 2020 A year after its re-election, the Coalition is riding high. But how long will that last?