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Peter Brent

Mumble, Peter Brent’s long-running polls and politics blog, is now exclusive to Inside Story. Peter tweets on electoral matters at @mumbletwits.

National Affairs Peter Brent 15 September 2021 Is Kristina Keneally’s arrival in Fowler a symptom of Labor’s fear of the electorate?
National Affairs Peter Brent 10 September 2021 Crossbenchers could play a bigger role after the election, but only one of them is likely to be a Greens MP National Affairs Peter Brent 24 August 2021 With the next federal election no more than nine months away, which seats should we be watching? National Affairs Peter Brent 3 August 2021 State governments are getting most of the credit for tackling Covid-19, regardless of what they do National Affairs Peter Brent 21 July 2021 Political authority is a precious commodity. Use it or lose it
National Affairs Peter Brent 13 July 2021 We only find out what kind of PM a politician makes once they’re in office. But who’s most likely to get there?
National Affairs Peter Brent 22 June 2021 Can a referendum on the Voice to Parliament succeed? National Affairs Peter Brent 24 May 2021 Last held by Labor in 1910, Upper Hunter stays in the hands of the Nats after Saturday’s vote National Affairs Peter Brent 14 May 2021 Why Anthony Albanese’s budget reply was fit for purpose National Affairs Peter Brent 7 May 2021 Is last weekend’s win for Tasmania’s Liberals good news for Scott Morrison?
National Affairs Peter Brent 3 May 2021 The Nine papers’ well-intentioned attempt to improve coverage of political polls could have the opposite effect
National Affairs Peter Brent 23 April 2021 Scott Morrison’s reputation for campaigning prowess could work in Labor’s favour at the next election, but the economy will trump all else National Affairs Peter Brent 14 April 2021 Is Scott Morrison the prime minister to win the next election? National Affairs Peter Brent 24 March 2021 Liberal preferences could make or break the Greens’ ambitions in the lower house. Will Jeff Kennett come to the rescue? National Affairs Peter Brent 12 March 2021 Labor is expected to win by a landslide in WA tomorrow. But be wary of drawing conclusions about the next federal election
National Affairs Peter Brent 5 March 2021 Those eleven years of government certainly had an impact, but not the one the Liberal PM is usually credited with
National Affairs Peter Brent 17 February 2021 Has Labor written the Coalition’s script for the next election campaign? National Affairs Peter Brent 11 February 2021 Australia’s climate policy failures are set to create a new revenue stream for major trading partners National Affairs Peter Brent 1 February 2021 Covid-19 has been good to governments, but will the effect last? National Affairs Peter Brent 16 December 2020 Why we’re still trying to understand the “Morrison miracle” (and other great polling failures)
National Affairs Peter Brent 7 December 2020 Focusing on the outer suburbs could lead Labor into deep trouble
National Affairs Peter Brent 1 December 2020 Like most by-elections, the weekend’s vote in Groom hasn’t changed the wider electoral equation National Affairs Peter Brent 18 November 2020 Covid-19 has rewarded some and disadvantaged others — but federal Labor faces the same old post-defeat pressures Summer season Peter Brent 14 November 2020 Behind Joel Fitzgibbon’s coal-fired resignation lies a decades-old battle   National Affairs Peter Brent 6 November 2020 Are the polls really less accurate these days?
National Affairs Peter Brent 31 October 2020 The minor party’s apparent decline can only be good for Labor in today’s state election
National Affairs Peter Brent 28 October 2020 Experience shows that state parties suffer electorally when their own party governs in Canberra National Affairs Peter Brent 22 October 2020 Regardless of his public impact, Josh Frydenberg is making his case to be party leader National Affairs Peter Brent 13 October 2020 Australians are more likely to vote than their international counterparts — but does that mean the system should stay as it is? National Affairs Peter Brent 6 October 2020 We’ve grown used to televised election confrontations. But do they really shift votes?