National Affairs
20 December 2021
MPs’ popularity (and the extra advantage of being a first-termer) is rarely included in electoral calculus
National Affairs
7 December 2021
Many Newspoll respondents think Labor will win the next election. But is that good news for the opposition?
National Affairs
1 December 2021
Mark McGowan might be riding high, but how much does that help federal Labor?
National Affairs
10 November 2021
Once seen as fabled “Howard’s battler” territory, Parramatta will be looking for a new MP at the next election
National Affairs
27 October 2021
The federal government thinks so, but probably for the wrong reasons
National Affairs
8 October 2021
Where do the “Voices” campaigns have their best chances of winning seats at the next federal election?
National Affairs
15 September 2021
Is Kristina Keneally’s arrival in Fowler a symptom of Labor’s fear of the electorate?
National Affairs
10 September 2021
Crossbenchers could play a bigger role after the election, but only one of them is likely to be a Greens MP
National Affairs
24 August 2021
With the next federal election no more than nine months away, which seats should we be watching?
National Affairs
3 August 2021
State governments are getting most of the credit for tackling Covid-19, regardless of what they do
National Affairs
21 July 2021
Political authority is a precious commodity. Use it or lose it
National Affairs
13 July 2021
We only find out what kind of PM a politician makes once they’re in office. But who’s most likely to get there?
National Affairs
22 June 2021
Can a referendum on the Voice to Parliament succeed?
National Affairs
24 May 2021
Last held by Labor in 1910, Upper Hunter stays in the hands of the Nats after Saturday’s vote
National Affairs
14 May 2021
Why Anthony Albanese’s budget reply was fit for purpose
National Affairs
7 May 2021
Is last weekend’s win for Tasmania’s Liberals good news for Scott Morrison?
National Affairs
3 May 2021
The Nine papers’ well-intentioned attempt to improve coverage of political polls could have the opposite effect
National Affairs
23 April 2021
Scott Morrison’s reputation for campaigning prowess could work in Labor’s favour at the next election, but the economy will trump all else
National Affairs
14 April 2021
Is Scott Morrison the prime minister to win the next election?
National Affairs
24 March 2021
Liberal preferences could make or break the Greens’ ambitions in the lower house. Will Jeff Kennett come to the rescue?
National Affairs
12 March 2021
Labor is expected to win by a landslide in WA tomorrow. But be wary of drawing conclusions about the next federal election
From the archive
5 March 2021
Those eleven years of government certainly had an impact, but not the one the Liberal PM is usually credited with
National Affairs
17 February 2021
Has Labor written the Coalition’s script for the next election campaign?
National Affairs
11 February 2021
Australia’s climate policy failures are set to create a new revenue stream for major trading partners
National Affairs
1 February 2021
Covid-19 has been good to governments, but will the effect last?
National Affairs
16 December 2020
Why we’re still trying to understand the “Morrison miracle” (and other great polling failures)
National Affairs
7 December 2020
Focusing on the outer suburbs could lead Labor into deep trouble
National Affairs
1 December 2020
Like most by-elections, the weekend’s vote in Groom hasn’t changed the wider electoral equation
National Affairs
18 November 2020
Covid-19 has rewarded some and disadvantaged others — but federal Labor faces the same old post-defeat pressures
Summer season
14 November 2020
Behind Joel Fitzgibbon’s coal-fired resignation lies a decades-old battle