National affairs
3 May 2024
The job of Liberal leader once swung from the party’s left to its right. But a lot has changed in recent years
National affairs
1 March 2024
It’s the interpretation rather than the result that will have real-world effects
National affairs
22 February 2024
It depends on how you ask the question
National affairs
4 December 2023
A panicky leader will only make matters worse for the government
National affairs
30 November 2023
With the next election still at least a year away, is the Coalition on the right kind of roll?
National affairs
6 November 2023
Railing against the elites, the Australian’s editor-at-large has missed real messages in the Voice vote
National affairs
16 October 2023
Despite the Yes campaign’s best efforts, Saturday’s vote followed the referendum playbook
National affairs
13 October 2023
Different audiences will be watching for different messages during Saturday night’s referendum count
National affairs
29 September 2023
History shows that the merits of the question are secondary considerations in any referendum vote
National affairs
31 August 2023
A more responsible party leader wouldn’t have joined in a ridiculous debate about ticks and crosses
National affairs
13 July 2023
History isn’t encouraging, but perhaps the government is playing a long game
National affairs
28 June 2023
Still polling strongly, the prime minister might be pondering his predecessors’ experiences after their first year in office
National affairs
9 May 2023
The Australian Election Study is hamstrung by some worrying choices
National affairs
18 April 2023
Neither result in the Voice referendum will benefit the opposition leader
National affairs
2 April 2023
Life has just got a lot harder for Peter Dutton
National affairs
31 March 2023
By-election results are often opaque, but their results can have quite an impact
National affairs
3 March 2023
Does the timing of the government’s superannuation tax reforms make any electoral sense?
National affairs
15 February 2023
There are good reasons to be sceptical about recent polling on the Voice referendum
National affairs
23 January 2023
Plenty, in fact, so the government needs to avoid getting derailed by the Voice’s critics (and some of its friends)
National affairs
7 October 2022
The signs of change are clear, but the balance between convenience and secrecy is still evolving
National affairs
24 September 2022
Shifting voter sentiment and a hostile global economy make Labor’s prospects far from clear
National affairs
20 December 2021
MPs’ popularity (and the extra advantage of being a first-termer) is rarely included in electoral calculus
National affairs
7 December 2021
Many Newspoll respondents think Labor will win the next election. But is that good news for the opposition?
National affairs
1 December 2021
Mark McGowan might be riding high, but how much does that help federal Labor?
National affairs
10 November 2021
Once seen as fabled “Howard’s battler” territory, Parramatta will be looking for a new MP at the next election
National affairs
27 October 2021
The federal government thinks so, but probably for the wrong reasons
National affairs
8 October 2021
Where do the “Voices” campaigns have their best chances of winning seats at the next federal election?
National affairs
15 September 2021
Is Kristina Keneally’s arrival in Fowler a symptom of Labor’s fear of the electorate?
National affairs
10 September 2021
Crossbenchers could play a bigger role after the election, but only one of them is likely to be a Greens MP
National affairs
24 August 2021
With the next federal election no more than nine months away, which seats should we be watching?