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National affairs Frank Bongiorno 20 June 2026 Pauline Hanson’s Press Club speech provided plenty of ammunition for at least some of her opponents
National affairs Peter Brent 19 June 2026 Peter Dutton was too Trump-like for voters. Are the rules any different for Pauline Hanson? National affairs Carol Johnson 12 June 2026 The prime minister’s optimistic view of the political landscape could be standing in the way of an effective response to One Nation Other Voices G. Elliott Morris 9 June 2026 The party’s election autopsy omits the biggest reason for its defeat — and fails to prepare for the future National affairs Peter Brent 1 June 2026 A post-budget poll has One Nation ahead of Labor on first preferences, but the Coalition still faces the biggest headache
National affairs Peter Brent 25 May 2026 A document that had a chance of being seen as courageous is catching all the wrong breaks
Essays & reportage Paul Strangio 1 May 2026 A year after Labor’s May 2025 win, there’s still room for optimism   National affairs Murray Goot 20 March 2026 Different events have shifted voters in different ways, but Labor’s two-party-preferred figures have barely changed National affairs Murray Goot 23 February 2026 The latest surveys are challenging our understanding of the swinging vote National affairs Peter Brent 13 February 2026 It’s possible, but will that impress the rest of the electorate?
National affairs Peter Brent 9 October 2025 The electoral pendulum tells only part of the story
National affairs Peter Brent 2 October 2025 Far-right disinformation has had a limited impact on Australian elections. But it would be wise to plan ahead National affairs Murray Goot 16 September 2025 How did pollsters come up with such different figures on Palestinian recognition? National affairs Peter Brent 11 September 2025 A misleading assertion about Indian voters has rippled across the political landscape National affairs Peter Brent 14 August 2025 How the pundits are getting it wrong about generational voting
National affairs Murray Goot 5 May 2025 The pollsters tipped the win but not its size. So why did they toe the same line?
National affairs Peter Brent 5 May 2025 The signs were there but the size of the swings still came as a shock National affairs Peter Brent 3 May 2025 With the final polls published, what do we and don’t we know? National affairs Peter Brent 1 May 2025 Beware of claims that supporters of small right-wing parties will overwhelmingly preference the Coalition National affairs Peter Brent 24 April 2025 Early voting, preference dealing, overinterpreted polls and an underwhelming debate: notes from another week of campaigning
National affairs Murray Goot 22 April 2025 Some polls are suggesting it will — but what distinguishes those polls from the ones that aren’t?
Essays & reportage Murray Goot 14 April 2025 Does the national two-party vote tell us whether Labor will finish with the most MPs, or will it come down to 150 seat-by-seat swings? National affairs Peter Brent 9 April 2025 Pollsters are giving Labor a winning edge, but the government has reasons to be cautious National affairs Murray Goot 10 March 2025 … winning without defeating any teals or Greens National affairs Murray Goot 10 March 2025 How reliable is the exotic new breed of seat-by-seat political polls?
Other Voices Bill Scher 26 February 2025 Trump’s historically bad first month of polls should terrify Republicans
National affairs Peter Brent 18 February 2025 Newspoll is changing the way it estimates how voters will direct their preferences National affairs Peter Browne 29 November 2024 Do partisan voters really inhabit separate realities? International Peter Brent 5 November 2024 After two presidential misfires in a row, the polls are under intense scrutiny ahead of tomorrow’s vote National affairs Peter Brent 31 May 2024 One of Australia’s pollsters got very close to the actual result in 2022. Can they do it again?