National affairs
29 November 2024
Do partisan voters really inhabit separate realities?
International
5 November 2024
After two presidential misfires in a row, the polls are under intense scrutiny ahead of tomorrow’s vote
National affairs
31 May 2024
One of Australia’s pollsters got very close to the actual result in 2022. Can they do it again?
National affairs
17 May 2024
All eyes will be on the next round of opinion polls. But it’s the ones that come later that count
National affairs
3 May 2024
The job of Liberal leader once swung from the party’s left to its right. But a lot has changed in recent years
Essays & reportage
12 March 2024
Is the Australian’s polling and commentary doing the opposition any favours?
National affairs
1 March 2024
It’s the interpretation rather than the result that will have real-world effects
National affairs
22 February 2024
It depends on how you ask the question
National affairs
4 December 2023
A panicky leader will only make matters worse for the government
National affairs
30 November 2023
With the next election still at least a year away, is the Coalition on the right kind of roll?
National affairs
13 October 2023
Different audiences will be watching for different messages during Saturday night’s referendum count
Essays & reportage
25 July 2023
How Newspoll reports public opinion and how the Australian reports Newspoll
National affairs
28 June 2023
Still polling strongly, the prime minister might be pondering his predecessors’ experiences after their first year in office
Essays & reportage
20 June 2023
Depending on the choices pollsters offer, the undecideds range all the way from none to two-thirds of respondents
National affairs
9 June 2023
Support for the Voice may not have dropped as much as the latest Newspoll suggests
National affairs
9 May 2023
The Australian Election Study is hamstrung by some worrying choices
Correspondents
3 April 2023
May’s local elections across England will be closely watched by parties and pollsters alike
National affairs
15 February 2023
There are good reasons to be sceptical about recent polling on the Voice referendum
National affairs
24 September 2022
Shifting voter sentiment and a hostile global economy make Labor’s prospects far from clear
National affairs
1 December 2021
Mark McGowan might be riding high, but how much does that help federal Labor?
Essays & reportage
5 July 2021
How skilfully has the Age and the Sydney Morning Herald’s new pollster gauged opinion on quarantine, cutting emissions, and China?
Books & arts
24 June 2021
It’s a question that might best be approached obliquely
National affairs
7 May 2021
Is last weekend’s win for Tasmania’s Liberals good news for Scott Morrison?
National affairs
3 May 2021
The Nine papers’ well-intentioned attempt to improve coverage of political polls could have the opposite effect
National affairs
23 April 2021
Scott Morrison’s reputation for campaigning prowess could work in Labor’s favour at the next election, but the economy will trump all else
National affairs
19 March 2021
Trigger-happy state opposition MPs seem set on repeating the mistakes of the past
National affairs
1 February 2021
Covid-19 has been good to governments, but will the effect last?
National affairs
16 December 2020
Why we’re still trying to understand the “Morrison miracle” (and other great polling failures)
National affairs
6 November 2020
Are the polls really less accurate these days?
National affairs
21 September 2020
Structural shifts mean that Labor’s primary vote is only part of the election-winning equation