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elections
National affairs
Labor’s Trump card goes missing
Peter Brent
27 May 2025
A key factor in Labor’s election win was forgotten once the postmortems began
National affairs
Right winner, wrong margin
Murray Goot
5 May 2025
The pollsters tipped the win but not its size. So why did they toe the same line?
National affairs
Notes on a landslide
Peter Brent
5 May 2025
The signs were there but the size of the swings still came as a shock
National affairs
Are the Liberals in danger of becoming the Kodak of Australian politics?
Frank Bongiorno
4 May 2025
The party is taking a long time to understand its plight
National affairs
Day of reckoning
Peter Brent
3 May 2025
With the final polls published, what do we and don’t we know?
National affairs
How Peter Dutton misread the electorate
Karen Middleton
2 May 2025
A misconceived election strategy’s long history
National affairs
Against the flow
Peter Brent
1 May 2025
Beware of claims that supporters of small right-wing parties will overwhelmingly preference the Coalition
National affairs
The incumbency factor
Karen Middleton
25 April 2025
Retirements by longstanding MPs are adding to the election campaign’s complexity as it heads into its final week
Books & arts
Body politics
Alecia Simmonds
24 April 2025
A new biography of Beatrice Faust illuminates a distinct strand of Australian feminism
National affairs
Who do you trust?
Peter Brent
24 April 2025
Early voting, preference dealing, overinterpreted polls and an underwhelming debate: notes from another week of campaigning
National affairs
Could Labor win big?
Murray Goot
22 April 2025
Some polls are suggesting it will — but what distinguishes those polls from the ones that aren’t?
International
Mark Carney’s slipstream campaign
Jonathan Malloy
21 April 2025
Canada’s Liberals enter the final week of the election campaign with plenty of help from south of the border
National affairs
Sowing doubt in Dutton’s Dickson
Karen Middleton
18 April 2025
Targeting the opposition leader’s seat serves more than one purpose for Labor
National affairs
The Coalition makes the case for negative gearing reform
Peter Mares
15 April 2025
Peter Dutton’s housing announcement exposes the inconsistency in the opposition’s thinking
Essays & reportage
Which are the polls to watch?
Murray Goot
14 April 2025
Does the national two-party vote tell us whether Labor will finish with the most MPs, or will it come down to 150 seat-by-seat swings?
National affairs
A small target has suddenly got bigger
Karen Middleton
11 April 2025
Attacking the government might have given the Coalition some easy wins over the past three years, but does it add up to an election strategy?
International
Oh, for the good old days?
Michael Barr
9 April 2025
A looming general election is highlighting the shortcomings of Singapore’s current generation of leaders
National affairs
Notes on a resurgence
Peter Brent
9 April 2025
Pollsters are giving Labor a winning edge, but the government has reasons to be cautious
National affairs
Peter Dutton’s challenge
Paul Rodan
8 April 2025
Is electoral history about to assert itself once again?
National affairs
Tricks of the trade
Karen Middleton
4 April 2025
Australia’s narrow escape from tariffs during Donald Trump’s first presidency created hostility that could complicate efforts to respond to his latest move
National affairs
How they started and how they finished
Rodney Tiffen
3 April 2025
Do election campaigns matter? Fifty years of federal elections reveal a complex picture
National affairs
Pre-election giveaways
Karen Middleton
28 March 2025
The last week of parliament exposed where the tensions lie on both sides of politics
National affairs
State of exception
Peter Brent
25 March 2025
Taswegians tend to go their own way at national elections, and that can matter when the results are close
International
“I’m most useful in a crisis. I’m not that good in peacetime.”
Jonathan Malloy
11 March 2025
Can a former central banker use Donald Trump’s threats to pull off a shock win for Canada’s Liberals?
National affairs
A poll that answers Dutton’s dreams…
Murray Goot
10 March 2025
… winning without defeating any teals or Greens
National affairs
Safety in numbers?
Murray Goot
10 March 2025
How reliable is the exotic new breed of seat-by-seat political polls?
Essays & reportage
Disruption (with Australian characteristics)
Brett Evans
7 March 2025
A credible teal threat to the Liberals in Sydney’s Bradfield raises the question: would minority government be so bad?
International
What’s new in Germany?
Klaus Neumann
27 February 2025
And — following the weekend’s election — what’s eerily familiar?
National affairs
An unhealthy Mediconsensus
Lesley Russell
26 February 2025
With the Coalition matching Labor’s promises, are vital Medicare reforms being dealt out of contention?
Other Voices
The far right is rising in the land of “never again”
Jan Böhmermann
21 February 2025
Ahead of Sunday’s German election, satirist Jan Böhmermann’s analysis for the
New York Times
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